Metabolomic Association and Risk Prediction With Heart Failure in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Older adults have markedly increased risks of heart failure (HF), specifically HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Identifying novel biomarkers can help in understanding HF pathogenesis and improve at-risk population identification. This study aimed to identify metabolites associated with incident HF, HFpEF, and HF with reduced ejection fraction and examine risk prediction in older adults. METHODS: Untargeted metabolomic profiling was performed in Black and White adults from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) visit 5 (n=3719; mean age, 75 years). We applied Cox regressions to identify metabolites associated with incident HF and its subtypes. The metabolite risk score (MRS) was constructed and examined for associations with HF, echocardiographic measures, and HF risk prediction. Independent samples from visit 3 (n=1929; mean age, 58 years) were used for replication. RESULTS: Sixty metabolites (hazard ratios range, 0.79-1.49; false discovery rate, <0.05) were associated with incident HF after adjusting for clinical risk factors, eGFR, and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide). Mannonate, a hydroxy acid, was replicated (hazard ratio, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.19-1.56]) with full adjustments. MRS was associated with an 80% increased risk of HF per SD increment, and the highest MRS quartile had 8.7× the risk of developing HFpEF than the lowest quartile. High MRS was also associated with unfavorable values of cardiac structure and function. Adding MRS over clinical risk factors and NT-proBNP improved 5-year HF risk prediction C statistics from 0.817 to 0.850 (∆C, 0.033 [95% CI, 0.017-0.047]). The association between MRS and incident HF was replicated after accounting for clinical risk factors (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Novel metabolites associated with HF risk were identified, elucidating disease pathways, specifically HFpEF. An MRS was associated with HF risk and improved 5-year risk prediction in older adults, which may assist at at-risk population identification.

A polygenic risk score of atrial fibrillation improves prediction of lifetime risk for heart failure.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) has shared genetic architecture with its risk factors: atrial fibrillation (AF), body mass index (BMI), coronary heart disease (CHD), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aim to assess the association and risk prediction performance of risk-factor polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for incident HF and its subtypes in bi-racial populations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Five PRSs were constructed for AF, BMI, CHD, SBP, and T2D in White participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The associations between PRSs and incident HF and its subtypes were assessed using Cox models, and the risk prediction performance of PRSs was assessed using C statistics. Replication was performed in the ARIC study Black and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) White participants. In 8624 ARIC study Whites, 1922 (31% cumulative incidence) HF cases developed over 30 years of follow-up. PRSs of AF, BMI, and CHD were associated with incident HF (P < 0.001), where PRSAF showed the strongest association [hazard ratio (HR): 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.41-1.53]. Only the addition of PRSAF to the ARIC study HF risk equation improved C statistics for 10 year risk prediction from 0.812 to 0.829 (∆C: 0.017, 95% CI: 0.009-0.026). The PRSAF was associated with both incident HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.27-1.60) and incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.33-1.62). The associations between PRSAF and incident HF and its subtypes, as well as the improved risk prediction, were replicated in the ARIC study Blacks and the CHS Whites (P < 0.050). Protein analyses revealed that N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and other 98 proteins were associated with PRSAF. CONCLUSIONS: The PRSAF was associated with incident HF and its subtypes and had significant incremental value over an established HF risk prediction equation.

Identification of Fatigue Subtypes and Their Correlates in Prevalent Heart Failure: A Secondary Analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with heart failure (HF), fatigue is common and linked to quality of life and functional status. Fatigue is hypothesized to manifest as multiple types, with general and exertional components. Unique subtypes of fatigue in HF may require differential assessment and treatment to improve outcomes. We conducted this study to identify fatigue subtypes in persons with prevalent HF in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) and describe the distribution of characteristics across subtypes. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of 1065 participants with prevalent HF at ARIC visit 5 (2011-2013). We measured exertional fatigue using the Modified Medical Research Council Breathlessness scale and general fatigue using the Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System fatigue scale. We used latent class analysis to identify subtypes of fatigue. Number of classes was determined using model fit statistics, and classes were interpreted and assigned fatigue severity rating based on the conditional probability of endorsing survey items given class. We compared characteristics across classes using multinomial regression. RESULTS: Overall, participants were 54% female and 38% Black with a mean age of 77. We identified 4 latent classes (fatigue subtypes): (1) high general/high exertional fatigue (18%), (2) high general/low exertional fatigue (27%), (3) moderate general/moderate exertional fatigue (20%), and (4) low/no general and exertional fatigue (35%). Female sex, Black race, lower education level, higher body mass index, increased depressive symptoms, and higher prevalence of diabetes were associated with higher levels of general and exertional fatigue. CONCLUSIONS: We identified unique subtypes of fatigue in patients with HF who have not been previously described. Within subtype, general and exertional fatigue were mostly concordant in severity, and exertional fatigue only occurred in conjunction with general fatigue, not alone. Further understanding these fatigue types and their relationships to outcomes may enhance our understanding of the symptom experience and inform prognostication and secondary prevention efforts for persons with HF.

Comparative Effect of Loop Diuretic Prescription on Mortality and Heart Failure Readmission.

Loop diuretics are a standard pharmacologic therapy in heart failure (HF) management. Although furosemide is most frequently used, torsemide and bumetanide are increasingly prescribed in clinical practice, possibly because of superior bioavailability. Few real-world comparative effectiveness studies have examined outcomes across all 3 loop diuretics. The study goal was to compare the effects of loop diuretic prescribing at HF hospitalization discharge on mortality and HF readmission. We identified patients in Medicare claims data initiating furosemide, torsemide, or bumetanide after an index HF hospitalization from 2007 to 2017. We estimated 6-month risks of all-cause mortality and a composite outcome (HF readmission or all-cause mortality) using inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for relevant confounders. We identified 62,632 furosemide, 1,720 torsemide, and 2,389 bumetanide initiators. The 6-month adjusted all-cause mortality risk was lowest for torsemide (13.2%), followed by furosemide (14.5%) and bumetanide (15.6%). The 6-month composite outcome risk was 21.4% for torsemide, 24.7% for furosemide, and 24.9% for bumetanide. Compared with furosemide, the 6-month all-cause mortality risk was 1.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -3.7, 1.0) lower for torsemide and 1.0% (95% CI: -1.2, 3.2) higher for bumetanide, and the 6-month composite outcome risk was 3.3% (95% CI: -6.3, -0.3) lower for torsemide and 0.2% (95% CI: -2.5, 2.9) higher for bumetanide. In conclusion, the findings suggested that the first prescribed loop diuretic following HF hospitalization is associated with clinically important differences in morbidity in older patients receiving torsemide, bumetanide, or furosemide. These differences were consistent for the effect of all-cause mortality alone, but were not statistically significant.

Association of Depression Symptoms and Biomarkers of Risk on Clinical Outcomes in HFrEF.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies have demonstrated an association of depression with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with HFrEF, but the possible mechanisms responsible for the association are not unserstood. METHODS: 142 men and women with HFrEF were enrolled through HF clinics and followed over time. At baseline and 6-months, depression was assessed by the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) and disease activity by B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP). Proportional Hazards Regression Models assessed the contribution of depressive symptoms and HFrEF disease biomarkers on death or cardiovascular hospitalization. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 4 years, 42 patients (30%) died, and 84 (60%) had cardiovascular hospitalizations. A 10-point higher baseline BDI-II score was associated with a 35% higher hazard of death or cardiovascular hospitalization. Greater baseline BDI-II scores were associated with poorer HF self-care maintenance (R=-0.30, p<0.001) and fewer daily steps (R=-0.19, p=0.04), suggesting that depression may adversely affect important health behaviors. Increases in plasma BNP over 6 months were associated with worse outcomes. Changes in BDI-II score and plasma BNP over 6 months were positively correlated (R=0.25, p=0.004). CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the importance of elevated depression symptoms and their association with an increased likelihood of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with HFrEF. Health behaviors may play a greater role than direct biobehavioral pathways in the adverse effects of depression on the HF disease trajectory and resultant clinical outcomes.

Heart transplantation and human immunodeficiency virus-navigating drug-drug interactions: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has led to a decline in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related mortality, but comorbidities, including organ dysfunction, are increasingly the focus of care. Heart transplant (HT) is a very effective therapeutic strategy for end-stage heart failure (HF); however, clinicians may be hesitant due to concerns of complex drug-drug interactions (DDIs) between ART and HT immunosuppressive regimens and the potential impact of ART on long-term HT outcomes. In this report, we describe long-term (76-month) follow-up of a patient with HIV-positive status who underwent orthotopic HT with special emphasis on complex drug interactions. CASE PRESENTATION: A 58-year-old man with HIV-1 developed ischemic cardiomyopathy, progressed to end-stage HF and underwent orthotopic HT. To avoid DDIs with planned immunosuppressive therapies, the ART regimen was modified to consist of lamivudine, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, rilpivirine, and raltegravir. Following HT, the patient's immunosuppression consisted of tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil. He has had normal cardiac function and no opportunistic infections and was subsequently switched to tenofovir alafenamide, emtricitabine, and bictegravir in combination for convenience. Serial HIV-1 RNA blood levels were constantly below the limit of quantification, and his CD4 count remained above 200 cells/mm3 (30-35%). Several DDIs were identified and addressed; however, his long-term post-HT complications included one episode of asymptomatic acute cellular rejection, adenocarcinoma of the prostate, basal cell carcinoma, cardiac allograft vasculopathy, and peripheral neuropathy. CONCLUSION: The clinical outcome of this case supports the conclusion of previously published reports, summarized here within, demonstrating that HIV-1 positive status should not preclude HT in carefully selected individuals. Both addressing potential DDIs prior to HT and long-term monitoring for routine post-transplant complications and secondary and incidental malignancies are imperative.

Epidemiology and Outcomes of Aortic Stenosis in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies characterize the epidemiology and outcomes of aortic stenosis (AS) in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). This study investigates the significance of AS in contemporary patients who have experienced an ADHF hospitalization. METHODS: The ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) surveilled ADHF hospitalizations for residents ≥55 years of age in 4 US communities. ADHF cases were stratified by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Demographic differences in AS burden and the association of varying AS severities with mortality were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: From 2005 through 2014, there were 3597 (weighted n=16 692) ADHF hospitalizations of which 48.6% had an LVEF <50% and 51.4% an LVEF ≥50%. AS prevalence was 12.1% and 18.7% in those with an LVEF <50% and ≥50%, respectively. AS was less likely in Black than White patients regardless of LVEF: LVEF <50% (odds ratio [OR], 0.34 [95% CI, 0.28-0.42]); LVEF ≥50% (OR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.44-0.59]). Higher AS severity was independently associated with 1-year mortality in both LVEF subgroups: LVEF <50% (OR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.04-1.28]); LVEF ≥50% (OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.28-1.54]). Sensitivity analyses excluding severe AS patients detected that mild/moderate AS was independently associated with 1-year mortality in both LVEF subgroups: LVEF <50% (OR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.02-1.47]); LVEF ≥50% (OR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.14-1.51]). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who have experienced an ADHF hospitalization, AS is prevalent and portends poor mortality outcomes. Notably, mild/moderate AS is independently associated with 1-year mortality in this high-risk population.

Racial Differences in Trends and Prognosis of Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy for Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Surveillance Study.

BACKGROUND: Racial disparities in guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) have not been fully documented in a community setting. METHODS: In the ARIC Surveillance Study (2005-2014), we examined racial differences in GDMT at discharge, its temporal trends, and the prognostic impact among individuals with hospitalized HFrEF, using weighted regression models to account for sampling design. Optimal GDMT was defined as beta blockers (BB), mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) and ACE inhibitors (ACEI) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB). Acceptable GDMT included either one of BB, MRA, ACEI/ARB or hydralazine plus nitrates (H-N). RESULTS: Of 16,455 (unweighted n = 3,669) HFrEF cases, 47% were Black. Only ~ 10% were discharged with optimal GDMT with higher proportion in Black than White individuals (11.1% vs. 8.6%, p < 0.001). BB use was > 80% in both racial groups while Black individuals were more likely to receive ACEI/ARB (62.0% vs. 54.6%) and MRA (18.0% vs. 13.8%) than Whites, with a similar pattern for H-N (21.8% vs. 10.1%). There was a trend of decreasing use of optimal GDMT in both groups, with significant decline of ACEI/ARB use in Whites (- 2.8% p < 0.01) but increasing H-N use in both groups (+ 6.5% and + 9.2%, p < 0.01). Only ACEI/ARB and BB were associated with lower 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Optimal GDMT was prescribed in only ~ 10% of HFrEF patients at discharge but was more so in Black than White individuals. ACEI/ARB use declined in Whites while H-N use increased in both races. GDMT utilization, particularly ACEI/ARB, should be improved in Black and Whites individuals with HFrEF.

A generalizable electrocardiogram-based artificial intelligence model for 10-year heart failure risk prediction.

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a progressive condition with high global incidence. HF has two main subtypes: HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). There is an inherent need for simple yet effective electrocardiogram (ECG)-based artificial intelligence (AI; ECG-AI) models that can predict HF risk early to allow for risk modification. Objective: The main objectives were to validate HF risk prediction models using Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) data and assess performance on HFpEF and HFrEF classification. Methods: There were six models in comparision derived using ARIC data. 1) The ECG-AI model predicting HF risk was developed using raw 12-lead ECGs with a convolutional neural network. The clinical models from 2) ARIC (ARIC-HF) and 3) Framingham Heart Study (FHS-HF) used 9 and 8 variables, respectively. 4) Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model developed using the clinical risk factors in ARIC-HF or FHS-HF. 5) CPH model using the outcome of ECG-AI and the clinical risk factors used in CPH model (ECG-AI-Cox) and 6) A Light Gradient Boosting Machine model using 288 ECG Characteristics (ECG-Chars). All the models were validated on MESA. The performances of these models were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared using the DeLong test. Results: ECG-AI, ECG-Chars, and ECG-AI-Cox resulted in validation AUCs of 0.77, 0.73, and 0.84, respectively. ARIC-HF and FHS-HF yielded AUCs of 0.76 and 0.74, respectively, and CPH resulted in AUC = 0.78. ECG-AI-Cox outperformed all other models. ECG-AI-Cox provided an AUC of 0.85 for HFrEF and 0.83 for HFpEF. Conclusion: ECG-AI using ECGs provides better-validated predictions when compared to HF risk calculators, and the ECG feature model and also works well with HFpEF and HFrEF classification.

Accuracy of the electronic health record's problem list in describing multimorbidity in patients with heart failure in the emergency department.

Patients with heart failure (HF) often suffer from multimorbidity. Rapid assessment of multimorbidity is important for minimizing the risk of harmful drug-disease and drug-drug interactions. We assessed the accuracy of using the electronic health record (EHR) problem list to identify comorbid conditions among patients with chronic HF in the emergency department (ED). A retrospective chart review study was performed on a random sample of 200 patients age ≥65 years with a diagnosis of HF presenting to an academic ED in 2019. We assessed participant chronic conditions using: (1) structured chart review (gold standard) and (2) an EHR-based algorithm using the problem list. Chronic conditions were classified into 37 disease domains using the Agency for Healthcare Research Quality's Elixhauser Comorbidity Software. For each disease domain, we report the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive of using an EHR-based algorithm. We calculated the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) to assess overall agreement on Elixhauser domain count between chart review and problem list. Patients with HF had a mean of 5.4 chronic conditions (SD 2.1) in the chart review and a mean of 4.1 chronic conditions (SD 2.1) in the EHR-based problem list. The five most prevalent domains were uncomplicated hypertension (90%), obesity (42%), chronic pulmonary disease (38%), deficiency anemias (33%), and diabetes with chronic complications (30.5%). The positive predictive value and negative predictive value of using the EHR-based problem list was greater than 90% for 24/37 and 32/37 disease domains, respectively. The EHR-based problem list correctly identified 3.7 domains per patient and misclassified 2.0 domains per patient. Overall, the ICC in comparing Elixhauser domain count was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82). The EHR-based problem list captures multimorbidity with moderate-to-good accuracy in patient with HF in the ED.

Socioeconomic status and modification of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk prediction: epidemiological analysis using data from the atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

OBJECTIVE: Examine whether the relationship between the pooled cohort equations (PCE) predicted 10-year risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and absolute risk for ASCVD is modified by socioeconomic status (SES). DESIGN: Population-based longitudinal cohort study-Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-investigating the development of cardiovascular disease across demographic subgroups. SETTING: Four communities in the USA-Forsyth County, North Carolina, Jackson, Mississippi, suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota and Washington County, Maryland. PARTICIPANTS: We identified 9782 ARIC men and women aged 54-73 without ASCVD at study visit 4 (1996-1998). PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Risk ratio (RR) differences in 10-year incident hospitalisations or death for ASCVD by SES and PCE predicted 10-year ASCVD risk categories to assess for risk modification. SES measures included educational attainment and census-tract neighbourhood deprivation using the Area Deprivation Index. PCE risk categories were 0%-5%, >5%-10%, >10%-15% and >15%. SES as a prognostic factor to estimate ASCVD absolute risk categories was further investigated as an interaction term with the PCE. RESULTS: ASCVD RRs for participants without a high school education (referent college educated) increased at higher PCE estimated risk categories and was consistently >1. Results indicate education is both a risk modifier and delineates populations at higher ASCVD risk independent of PCE. Neighbourhood deprivation did modify association but was less consistent in direction of effect. However, for participants residing in the most deprived neighbourhoods (referent least deprived neighbourhoods) with a PCE estimated risk >10%-15%, risk was significantly elevated (RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.59). Education and neighbourhood deprivation inclusion as an interaction term on the PCE risk score was statistically significant (likelihood ratio p≤0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: SES modifies the association between PCE estimated risk and absolute risk of ASCVD. SES added into ASCVD risk prediction models as an interaction term may improve our ability to predict absolute ASCVD risk among socially disadvantaged populations.

A new species and new records of Gnorimoschemini (Lepidoptera, Gelechiidae) from Ecuador.

Scrobipalpula onorei sp. nov. is described from Las Pampas, Ecuador. The species is tentatively placed near Scrobipalpula densata (Meyrick, 1917) and S. caustonae Landry, 2010 based on both having a slender, elongate phallus and a bipartite corpus bursae without a signum. Eurysacca media Povoln, 1986 is recorded for the first time from Ecuador. Sexual dimorphism in structures of abdominal segments VIIVIII are described for the first time for E. media. The female of this species has patches of melanized scales on abdominal segment VII. The diagnosis of the species is updated with descriptions and illustration of additional details of external morphology and characters of male and female genitalia. We also provide an annotated list of Gnorimoschemini from Ecuador.

Impact of Socioeconomic Status on Mortality and Readmission in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: The ARIC Study.

Background Low socioeconomic status (SES) is associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). The contribution of individual and neighborhood SES to the prognosis and quality of care for HF with reduced ejection fraction is not clear yet has important implications. Methods and Results We examined 728 participants of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study (mean age, 78.2 years; 34% Black participants; 46% women) hospitalized with HF with reduced ejection fraction (ejection fraction <50%) between 2005 and 2018. We assessed associations between education, income, and area deprivation index with mortality and HF readmission using multivariable Cox models. We also evaluated the use of guideline-directed medical therapy (optimal: ≥3 of ß-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, or angiotensin receptor blockers; acceptable: at least 2) at discharge. During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 58.7% were readmitted with HF, and 74.0% died. Low income was associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52 [95% CI, 1.14-2.04]) and readmission (HR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.04-2.03]). Similarly, low education was associated with mortality (HR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.01-1.59]) and readmission (HR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.24-2.12]). The highest versus lowest area deprivation index quartile was associated with readmission (HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.11-2.58]) but not necessarily with mortality. The prevalence of optimal guideline-directed medical therapy and acceptable guideline-directed medical therapy was 5.5% and 54.4%, respectively, but did not significantly differ by SES. Conclusions Among patients hospitalized with HF with reduced ejection fraction, low SES was independently associated with mortality and HF readmission. A targeted secondary prevention approach that focuses intensive efforts on patients with low SES will be necessary to improve outcomes of those with HF with reduced ejection fraction.

Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: The ARIC Study.

Background Whether coronary artery disease (CAD) is a significant risk factor for heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unclear. Methods and Results Among 9902 participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, we assessed the association of incident CAD with subsequent incident HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction [≥50%]) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; left ventricular ejection fraction <50%) using survival models with time-updated variables. We also assessed the extent to which echocardiographic correlates of prevalent CAD account for the relationship between CAD and incident HFpEF. Over 13-year follow-up, incident CAD developed in 892 participants and 178 subsequently developed HF (86 HFrEF, 71 HFpEF). Incident HFrEF and HFpEF risk were both greatest early after the CAD event. At >1 year post-CAD event, adjusted incidence of HFrEF and HFpEF were similar (7.2 [95% CI, 5.2-10.0] and 6.7 [4.8-9.2] per 1000 person-years, respectively) and CAD remained predictive of both (HFrEF: hazard ratio, 2.76 [95% CI, 1.99-3.84]; HFpEF: 1.85 [1.35-2.54]) after adjusting for demographics and common comorbidities. Among 4779 HF-free participants at Visit 5 (2011-2013), the 490 with prevalent CAD had lower left ventricular ejection fraction and higher left ventricular mass index, E/e', and left atrial volume index (all P<0.01). The association of prevalent CAD with incident HFpEF post-Visit 5 was not significant after adjusting for echocardiographic measures, with the greatest attenuation observed for left ventricular diastolic function. Conclusions CAD is a significant risk factor for incident HFpEF after adjustment for demographics and common comorbidities. This relationship is partially accounted for by echocardiographic alterations, particularly left ventricular diastolic function.

Association of Pulmonary Function With Late-Life Cardiac Function and Heart Failure Risk: The ARIC Study.

Background Pulmonary and cardiac functions decline with age, but the associations of pulmonary dysfunction with cardiac function and heart failure (HF) risk in late life is not known. We aimed to determine the associations of percent predicted forced vital capacity (ppFVC) and the ratio of forced expired volume in 1 second (FEV1) to forced vital capacity (FVC; FEV1/FVC) with cardiac function and incident HF with preserved or reduced ejection fraction in late life. Methods and Results Among 3854 HF-free participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) cohort study who underwent echocardiography and spirometry at the fifth study visit (2011-2013), associations of FEV1/FVC and ppFVC with echocardiographic measures, cardiac biomarkers, and risk of HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction, and HF with reduced ejection fraction were assessed. Multivariable linear and Cox regression models adjusted for demographics, body mass index, coronary disease, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, and diabetes. Mean age was 75±5 years, 40% were men, 19% were Black, and 61% were ever smokers. Mean FEV1/FVC was 72±8%, and ppFVC was 98±17%. In adjusted analyses, lower FEV1/FVC and ppFVC were associated with higher NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; both P<0.001) and pulmonary artery pressure (P<0.004). Lower ppFVC was also associated with higher left ventricular mass, left ventricular filling pressure, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (all P<0.01). Lower FEV1/FVC was associated with a trend toward higher risk of incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (hazard ratio [HR] per 10-point decrease, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.98-1.74; P=0.07) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR per 10-point decrease, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.91-1.70; P=0.18), but these associations did not reach statistical significance. Lower ppFVC was associated with incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR per 10-unit decrease, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04-1.41; P=0.013) but not with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR per 10-unit decrease, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.76-1.07; P=0.24). Conclusions Subclinical reductions in FEV1/FVC and ppFVC differentially associate with cardiac function and HF risk in late life.

Cigarette Smoking, Cessation, and Risk of Heart Failure With Preserved and Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Smoking is well-recognized as a risk factor for heart failure (HF). However, few studies have evaluated the prospective association of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) as distinct phenotypes. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to quantify the association of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation with the incidence of HFpEF and HFrEF. METHODS: In 9,345 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study White and Black participants without history of HF at baseline in 2005 (age range 61-81 years), we quantified the associations of several established cigarette smoking parameters (smoking status, pack-years, intensity, duration, and years since cessation) with physician-adjudicated incident acute decompensated HF using multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.0 years, there were 1,215 incident HF cases. Compared with never smokers, current cigarette smoking was similarly associated with HFpEF and HFrEF, with adjusted HRs ∼2. There was a dose-response relationship for pack-years of smoking and HF. A more extended period of smoking cessation was associated with a lower risk of HF, but significantly elevated risk persisted up to a few decades for HFpEF and HFrEF. CONCLUSIONS: All cigarette smoking parameters consistently showed significant and similar associations with HFpEF and HFrEF. Smoking cessation significantly reduced the risk of HF, but excess HF risk persisted for a few decades. Our results strengthened the evidence that smoking is an important modifiable risk factor for HF and highlighted the importance of smoking prevention and cessation for the prevention of HF, including HFpEF.

Relationship Between Age at Menopause, Obesity, and Incident Heart Failure: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

Background The mechanisms linking menopausal age and heart failure (HF) incidence are controversial. We investigated for heterogeneity by obesity on the relationship between menopausal age and HF incidence. Methods and Results Using postmenopausal women who attended the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Visit 4, we estimated hazard ratios of incident HF associated with menopausal age using Cox proportional hazards models, testing for effect modification by obesity and adjusting for HF risk factors. Women were categorized by menopausal age: <45 years, 45 to 49 years, 50 to 54 years, and ≥55 years. Among 4441 postmenopausal women, aged 63.5±5.5 years, there were 903 incident HF events over a mean follow-up of 16.5 years. The attributable risk of generalized and central obesity for HF incidence was greatest among women who experienced menopause at age ≥55 years: 11.09/1000 person-years and 7.38/1000 person-years, respectively. There were significant interactions of menopausal age with body mass index and waist circumference for HF incidence, Pinteraction 0.02 and 0.001, respectively. The hazard ratios of incident HF for a SD increase in body mass index was elevated in women with menopausal age <45 years [1.39 (1.05-1.84)]; 45-49 years [1.33, (1.06-1.67)]; and ≥55 years [2.02, (1.41-2.89)]. The hazard ratio of incident HF for a SD increase in waist circumference was elevated only in women with menopausal age ≥55 years [2.93, (1.85-4.65)]. Conclusions As obesity worsened, the risk of developing HF became significantly greater when compared with women with lower body mass index and waist circumference, particularly among those who had experienced menopause at age ≥55 years.

The Obstetrical Care and Delivery Experience of Women with Epilepsy in the MONEAD Study.

OBJECTIVE: We examined mode of delivery among pregnant women with epilepsy (PWWE) versus pregnant controls (PC). We hypothesize that PWWE are more likely to deliver by cesarean. STUDY DESIGN: The Maternal Outcomes and Neurodevelopmental Effects of Antiepileptic Drugs (MONEAD) study is an observational, prospective, multicenter investigation of pregnancy outcomes funded by the National Institute of Health (NIH). MONEAD enrolled patients from December 2012 through January 2016. PWWE were matched to PC in a case:control ratio of 3:1. This analysis had 80% power to detect a 36% increase in cesarean frequency assuming a baseline rate of 30% among PC at an α = 0.05. RESULTS: This report analyzed 331 PWWE (76%) and 102 PC (24%) who gave birth while enrolled in the study. PWWE and PC had similar rates of cesarean delivery (34.7 vs. 28.6%; p = 0.27). Of women with cesarean, rates of cesarean without labor were similar between groups for those delivering in recruitment hospitals (48.2 vs. 50.0%) but in nonrecruitment hospitals, cesarean rates without labor were over two-fold higher among PWWE than those of PC (68.8 vs. 30.8%; p = 0.023). Receipt of a cesarean after labor did not differ for PWWE compared to PC or by type of antiepileptic drug among the PWWE. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the obstetrical experiences of PWWE and PC are similar. An interesting deviation from this observation was the mode of delivery with higher unlabored cesarean rates occurring among PWWE in nonrecruitment hospitals. As the study recruitment hospitals were tertiary academic centers and nonrecruitment hospitals tended to be community-based institutions, differences in perinatal expertise might contribute to this difference. KEY POINTS: · Unlabored cesarean rates higher among women with epilepsy.. · Provider preference may influence delivery mode among women with epilepsy.. · Type and amount of antiepileptic drug was not associated with mode of delivery..

NT-pro B-type natriuretic peptide, early menopause, and incident heart failure in postmenopausal women of the ARIC study.

OBJECTIVE: N-Terminal pro B-type Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP), a biomarker of heart failure (HF) has been associated with early menopause. We evaluated the modifying role of early menopause on the association of NT-proBNP with incident HF, and separately for HF subtypes, HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS: We included 4,352 postmenopausal women including 1,174 with early menopause, ages 63.5 ±â€Š5.5 years, without prevalent HF at the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study Visit 4. Binary log-transformation was performed for NT-proBNP. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of NT-proBNP with incident HF, and separately for incident HFpEF and incident HFrEF, testing for effect modification by early menopause and adjusting for HF risk factors. RESULTS: We observed 881 HF events over a mean follow-up of 16.5 years. The interaction terms of NT-proBNP and early menopause were not significant for incident HF (Pinteraction 0.95) and incident HFpEF (Pinteraction 0.17) but were significant for incident HFrEF (Pinteraction 0.03). The adjusted hazard ratios resulting from each doubling of NT-proBNP levels amongst women with and without early menopause were 1.33 (1.20-1.47) and 1.34 (1.24-1.44), respectively, for incident HF; 1.57 (1.34-1.86) and 1.38 (1.24-1.54), respectively, for incident HFpEF; and 1.68 (1.42-1.99) and 1.36 (1.22-1.52), respectively, for incident HFrEF. CONCLUSIONS: The association of NT-proBNP with incident HFpEF is similar irrespective of early menopause status. However, the association of NT-proBNP with incident HFrEF is greater among women with early menopause when compared to those without early menopause.

Video Summary:http://links.lww.com/MENO/A893 .

Race- and Gender-Based Differences in Cardiac Structure and Function and Risk of Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Although heart failure (HF) risk and cardiac structure/function reportedly differ according to race and gender, limited data exist in late life when risk of HF is highest. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to evaluate race/gender-based differences in HF risk factors, cardiac structure/function, and incident HF in late life. METHODS: This analysis included 5,149 HF-free participants from ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities), a prospective epidemiologic cohort study, who attended visit 5 (2011-2013) and underwent echocardiography. Participants were subsequently followed up for a median 5.5 years for incident HF/death. RESULTS: Patients' mean age was 75 ± 5 years, 59% were women, and 20% were Black. Male gender and Black race were associated with lower mean left ventricular ejection fraction. Black race was also associated with greater left ventricular wall thickness and concentricity, differences that persisted after adjusting for cardiovascular comorbidities. After adjusting for cardiovascular comorbidities, men were at higher risk for HF and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in Black participants compared with White participants (HF: HR of 2.36 [95% CI: 1.37-4.08] vs 1.16 [95% CI: 0.89-1.51], interaction P = 0.016; HFrEF: HR of 3.70 [95% CI: 1.72-7.95] vs 1.55 [95% CI: 1.01-2.37] respectively, interaction P = 0.039). Black race was associated with a higher incidence of HF overall and HFrEF in men only (HF: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.07-2.53] vs 0.76 [95% CI: 0.49-1.17]; HFrEF: HR of 2.55 [95% CI: 1.46-4.44] vs 0.91 [95% CI: 0.46-1.83]). No race/gender-based differences were observed in risk of incident heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. CONCLUSIONS: Among older persons free of HF, men and Black participants exhibit worse systolic performance and are at heightened risk for HFrEF, whereas the risk of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is similar across gender and race groups.